Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.019657 0.021201 0.022807 0.024606 0.026564 0.028634 0.030988
2025-11-09 0.016828 0.019002 0.021384 0.024191 0.027417 0.031016 0.035346
2025-11-16 0.014920 0.017425 0.020274 0.023764 0.027940 0.032795 0.038891
2025-11-23 0.013679 0.016418 0.019629 0.023689 0.028711 0.034752 0.042617
2025-11-30 0.012636 0.015521 0.018991 0.023499 0.029238 0.036347 0.045899
2025-12-07 0.011799 0.014790 0.018473 0.023372 0.029770 0.037911 0.049162
2025-12-14 0.011055 0.014113 0.017954 0.023178 0.030160 0.039260 0.052171
2025-12-21 0.010506 0.013642 0.017657 0.023227 0.030837 0.040985 0.055743
2025-12-28 0.009951 0.013122 0.017254 0.023094 0.031234 0.042322 0.058819
2026-01-04 0.009492 0.012699 0.016949 0.023061 0.031744 0.043813 0.062171
2026-01-11 0.009119 0.012370 0.016745 0.023145 0.032404 0.045528 0.065920
2026-01-18 0.008750 0.012025 0.016496 0.023142 0.032925 0.047048 0.069445
2026-01-25 0.008373 0.011663 0.016226 0.023121 0.033459 0.048679 0.073343
2026-02-01 0.007903 0.011148 0.015714 0.022722 0.033411 0.049441 0.075956
2026-02-08 0.007471 0.010666 0.015223 0.022322 0.033329 0.050133 0.078481
2026-02-15 0.007167 0.010354 0.014964 0.022251 0.033740 0.051594 0.082326
2026-02-22 0.006856 0.010018 0.014649 0.022075 0.033965 0.052761 0.085738
2026-03-01 0.006584 0.009725 0.014384 0.021956 0.034268 0.054056 0.089434
2026-03-08 0.006315 0.009424 0.014090 0.021775 0.034453 0.055157 0.092849
2026-03-15 0.006118 0.009226 0.013946 0.021821 0.035007 0.056892 0.097477
2026-03-22 0.005895 0.008975 0.013705 0.021697 0.035264 0.058129 0.101278
2026-03-29 0.005705 0.008770 0.013529 0.021666 0.035672 0.059640 0.105664
2026-04-05 0.005551 0.008614 0.013422 0.021744 0.036268 0.061502 0.110817